"If you are asked by elections officials what gives you the right to watch over the elections that grant all the legitimate power and money the government ever gets, and why a government official shouldn't be trusted to count secretly the processes that determine the government's own money and power, since you've got lots of things to do, just tell them:

  ‘Thomas Jefferson sent me.’

Remind them that...
Declaration of Independence - John Trumbull You will have plenty of energy and time to do these tasks to protect freedom and democracy, if you just remind yourself of what others have sacrificed so that you could enjoy democracy, and consider whether we have the right to allow democracy to literally disappear on our watch by our inaction. Then you'll be a sentinel of democracy, one of democracy's real defenders."

 —Paul Lehto April 18, 2006


our system of government is not based
on trust; it's based on checks and balances.

Quick Start

The Rolling Stone article by Robert F. Kennedy Jr. is just the latest step in realizing the truth about stolen election 2004.

Just so everyone understands, here's how it all started.

National Exit Polls are released periodically throughout election day showing Kerry winning (up through the final poll of the day at just after midnight).

We were not supposed to see them but great lawyer, statistician, thinker Jonathan Simon captured the unintentionally released exit polls. He knew there were problems when the vote count contradicted the exit poll results. So did many of us as we reviewed Ohio and the rest of the voter disenfranchisement efforts across the nation.   TruthIsAll TIA got a hold of the data and noticed something very wrong, outlining the case by Nov. 9, 2004.

Simon and Alastair Thompson (althecat) wrote their article in “Scoop” Independent News, Nov. 17, 2004.

The truth was out and TruthIsAll, Steve Freeman, Ron Baiman and the rest of the brave "math people" made the case on the exit polls while Bob Fitrakis, Ph.D., Richard Hayes Phillips, Ph.D., Cliff Arnebeck, and a host of wonderful activists all over America nailed down the rest of the evidence of voter suppression and disenfranchisement.

Democratic Underground and its Elections Forum was absolutely central to the process...

                                           autorank, TruthIsAll is Back...!!!
December 13, 2004    December 13, 2005
Clinton Eugene Curtis Election
Fraud
2004

"It was a powerful moment ...causing me to break down and cry ...because there was proof, before my very eyes, that these machines were every bit as bad as we all had feared."
Clint Curtis took a polygraph test on March 3rd, 2005...and passed! Slide Presentation The Harri Hursti Hack

June 1, 2006
Robert F. Kennedy Jr
"...evidence shows Ohio Sec. of State J. Kenneth Blackwell was 'certainly in on' the scheme, and there are indications that the effort went all the way up to the White House."
  • 06.01.06 2MRZ3MWas the 2004 Election Stolen? Republicans prevented more than 350,000 voters in Ohio from casting ballots or having their votes counted -- enough to have put John Kerry in the White House. — ROBERT F. KENNEDY JR. for Rolling Stone Magazine
  •          
    "And that's just the beginning of the story, which includes ballot-box stuffing, electronic voting machine manipulation, 'caging' in defiance of a court order banning Republicans from the notorious practice, threats and intimidation of Democratic voters by imported Republican goon squads, and multiple illegal uses of the office of the Secretary of State to disenfranchise Democratic voters." —Thom Hartmann
    "The article...covers several new and sometimes explosive details of Diebold's rollouts in both Georgia and Maryland dating back to 2002, as well as Florida, Ohio and Texas in 2004."

    From "EXCLUSIVE: New RFK Jr. Article On Diebold Says 'Electronic Voting Can't Be Trusted'" by Brad Friedman

    Protecting  The  Democratic  Vote:
    by   Michael Collins   and   TruthIsAll
    “Scoop” Independent News, Washington, D.C.
    Part 1
     10.25.06 
    Part 2
     10.31.06 
    (To scroll   use ↓↑ keypad —if necessary, click empty window-area first to get focus)

    Protecting The Democratic Vote:  Part 3  — Analysis: A Formula for Catching Election Fraud

    by  Michael Collins  and  TruthIsAll

    INTRODUCTION

    November 7, 2006 promises to be a watershed event in the political history of the United States of America. After six long years of the Bush Administration the public is poised to clean house and throw the bums out. These colloquial phrases represent the fervently held hopes of the 55% to 60% of the people who consistently disapprove of the Bush presidency. However, a darker horizon beckons due to the inevitable temptations to deliver the vote in ways that deny the public will.
    ...

    [click link for full article]

    * * * *
    This is the final of three pre-election articles I wrote with Michael Collins (autorank) and Alastair Thompson of SCOOP. The purpose was to quantify the risk of fraud in the 2006 Mid-terms. The analysis forecast that the Democrats would gain control of the House and Senate. It also indicated the House seats and Senate races where fraud was most likely to occur. And extensively-documented voting “anomalies” confirmed that perhaps millions of votes were either uncounted or switched.

    The election fraud model projected that the Democrats would win at least 240 House seats, but lose 10-15 to fraud. It correctly forecast that they would gain control of the Senate by winning six GOP-held seats, although they barely won Virginia and Montana. The Democratic Tsunami overcame the fraud in the House and Senate.

    There is no longer any doubt that the poll/vote discrepancies were caused by uncounted and switched votes. Evidence of fraud was once again found in the Final National Exit Poll which matched to the recorded vote count with the use of fallacious weightings. The 2006 Final “How Voted in 2004” weights were manipulated just like they were in the 2004 Final “How Voted in 2000”.

    In 2006, the weights were transformed from 47 Bush/ 45 Kerry at 7pm to 49 Bush/ 43 Kerry at 1pm the next day! This replicated the 41 Bush/39 Gore to impossible 43 Bush/ 37 Gore weight changes in 2004. The net effect of the change was to cut the Democratic margin in half — from 55-43% to 52-46%! Applying realistic weights to the 7pm NEP (using the 12:22am 2004 NEP) the Democratic margin becomes 56.7-42.1%, exactly matching the 120- Generic poll trend projection! Was it a coincidence or confirmation? You decide.

    This is the best evidence that once again the Final Exit Poll was forced to match a fraudulent miscount. Simple logic dictates that if just one demographic requires impossible or implausible weights and/or vote shares in order to match the vote count, then all other demographics must be bogus as well.

    Matching to the vote is nothing new; exit pollsters have been doing it long before Bush arrived on the scene and stolen elections became the norm. In the pre-BushCo world, matching the Final NEP to an essentially fraud-free recorded vote made sense — until BushCo came along and stole the 2000 election, along with repeat performances in 2002 and 2004. The 2006 Democratic Tsunami overwhelmed the fraud but the Dems still "lost" 10-15 House seats they should have won.

    Mark Lindeman said this: “personally, I think Pew was probably not far off”, referring to the final Pew Generic poll (47 Dem / 43% Rep). None are as blind as those who will not see. The Democrats won all 120 pre-election polls. Mark refuses to recognize the obvious. What about the other 119 pre-election polls? Is it just a coincidence that he chose to believe the Pew poll, an obvious outlier in which the 4% Democratic margin was 10% below the trend line?

    Talk about cherry-picking!...

    TruthIsAll      

    [ed. — For additional articles and analysis on the 2006 Mid-Terms click menu-Tab  2006 Landslide Denied 

    For complete commentary of above with graphs (and sources), click
     FAQ & Analytics  and see:
    UPDATED: Response to the 'TruthIsAll FAQ'
    Part I: Analytic Summary, "The 2006 Mid-Terms" —Summary Analysis    

    For a compendium of TruthIsAll analyses by topic, see
    UPDATED: Election Fraud Analytics THE 2006 MIDTERMS  ]

    Part 3

     11.07.06 
    — Election Fraud 2006 —
    Quantifying the Risk
    — Election Fraud 2006 —
    Risk Assessment Update
    Analysis: A Formula for
    Catching Election Fraud
    House and Senate Take Over
    Looks Good
    Prospects for a 34 Seat House
    Pick Up Look Good
    Democrats Should Take Up To
    40 House Seats And
    6 In The Senate

    A:   2006  LANDSLIDE  DENIED —Final Exit Poll "does NOT compute —again!"

    ...there was gross vote count manipulation and it had a great impact on the results of E2006, significantly decreasing the magnitude of what would have been, accurately tabulated, a landslide of epic proportions
    ...
    ABSTRACT: In the November 7, 2006 election in Ohio there were 350,669 more ballots cast than the number of votes counted for United States Senator. In 16 counties there were 268,987 uncounted votes, or 19.46% of ballots cast, compared to 82,957, or 2.99%, in 71 other counties. Cuyahoga County alone accounted for 148,958 uncounted votes, or 26.48% of ballots cast in the county, and 42.47% of the statewide total of uncounted ballots. In Marion County there were 1,275 more votes counted for United States Senator than the reported number of ballots cast, which is an impossibility. If the rate of uncounted ballots in the 17 suspect counties had been about 3%, as was the case elsewhere in the state, there would have been about 42,000 uncounted ballots instead of 269,000. This indicates that 227,000 votes may have been lost by the touch screen voting machines, which were utilized in all 17 of the suspect counties.
    ...There is no longer any doubt that the poll/vote discrepancies are caused by miscounting votes. The proof is once again found in the 2006 Final National Exit Poll which matched to the recorded vote count with the use of fallacious weightings. As in 2004, the Democrats won the "preliminary" 7:07pm NEP by a solid 55-43%. But the 1:00pm Final cut the margin in half (52-46%).

    The 7:07pm NEP low-balled the Democratic vote share with the use of "How Voted in 2004" Bush/Kerry (47/45%) weights. The Final NEP (49/43%) weights are even more outrageous; they're a carbon copy of the mathematically impossible 2004 Final Bush/Gore (43/37%). This is the best evidence that once again the Final Exit Poll was forced to match a fraudulent miscount...

     Three  Preliminary  "Non-Matched"  Exit Polls of Interviewed-Voters'  Votes 
    vs.
     A  Final Exit Poll  " Forced to Match"  the  Recorded  "
    (To scroll  use scrollwheel or arrow keypad —if necessary, click empty window-area to focus)



    [Click for Full Article]
    Count
    "  of 
    See  e-Vote Hacking  for videos of hacks of the two main types of electronic "voting machines":
    I. paper-fed     Optical Scanner   vote-mark Counting computer
    Programmable

    A paper format...but once fed and disappearing inside a programmable "blackbox"
    Optical Scanner, ballot vote-marks can be counted differently from the
    INTENDED VOTE
    See video of the Harry Hursti Hack of a Diebold Optical Scanner
    for programmed mis-counting that SWITCHES VOTES
    Paul Lehto: By what right or authority did my right to watch the counting of the vote get taken away?
    II. paper-less    DRE    vote-mark Direct-Recording-and-Counting computer
    Programmable

    "Touch Screen"
    Paper-less entry of vote-marks,
    No machine-independent record of vote-marks entered,
    No means to verify the recording and/or counting of vote-marks as the
    INTENDED VOTE
    See the Princeton Hack video for programmed, untraceable
    mis-recording-&-counting of vote-marks
    (vote-marks entered for G. Washington counted as votes for Benedict Arnold)
    "NIST's recommendation to the STS
    is that the DRE in practical terms
    cannot be made secure."
    ABSTRACT: In the Nov 7, 2006 election in Ohio, there were:
    • 350,669 more ballots cast than the number of votes counted for US Senator
    • In 16 counties        : 268,987 uncounted votes, or 19.46 % of ballots cast
      In 71 other counties:  82,957 uncounted votes, or   2.99 % of ballots cast

      This indicates that 227,000 votes may have been lost by the touch screen voting machines (DRE), which were utilized in all 17 of the suspect counties.

      Source:  2006 Landslide Denied   12.07.06  Yet Another Stolen Election?
    Vote-Marks
     
     2004 Exit Polls background, from excerpts of "An Open Letter to Salon's Farhad Manjoo" by TruthIsAll :
    THE  EXIT  POLLS  WE  WERE  NOT  SUPPOSED  TO  SEE

    Many voters went to sleep on election day assuming Kerry won. Jonathan Simon stayed up long enough to spot and download the 12:22am state exit polls. Luckily for us, The Washington Post chose not to delete the corresponding National Exit Poll ( 13047 respondents at 12:22am) which showed Kerry the 51-48% winner. We also have the earlier NEP timelines at 4pm ( 8349 respondents) and 7:30pm ( 11027 respondents) which established the 51-48% Kerry trend. He held the lead until the Final National Exit Poll ( 13660 respondents), when the numbers magically reverted to a 51-48% Bush win. The numbers (weights and vote shares) were revised to match the vote.

    click to open PDF
    On Election Day, exit polls … by six leading news organizations showed Kerry winning handily in four crucial states: Nevada, New Mexico, Florida and Ohio. Since the poll results were beyond the margin of error, Bush's odds of victory were less than
    one in 450,000
    But when the ballots were tallied, the four states "flipped" to Bush, depriving Kerry of fifty-seven electoral votes — and the White House.

    click to read
    Timeline shows the midnight "forcing"
    of exit polls to the "count" of  vote-marks
    from: Was the 2004 Election Stolen?—RFK Jr. for  Rolling Stone, June 2006
    THE  IMPOSSIBLE  FINAL  EXIT  POLL
    According to the
    ( To scroll  use scrollwheel or arrow keypad— if necessary, click empty window-area first to get focus )
    Final National Exit poll
    , 43% of the 122.3 million who voted in 2004 were Bush 2000 voters and 37% were Gore voters. These weightings in and of themselves debunk rBr. Now 43% of 122.3 is 52.57 million. And since Bush only got 50.5mm votes in 2000, of whom about 1.75mm died, only 48.7mm (39.8%) could have returned to vote in 2004, so the 43% Final NEP weighting was mathematically impossible.  The Bush vote was inflated by 4 million . I have just shown that the Final Poll at 1:25pm on Nov 3 is bogus, and that the earlier 12:22am numbers are close to the truth.

    Here's proof that the Final NEP weights are impossible.

    Here's the National Exit Poll Timeline.  Notice the smooth trend in the first three timelines  (4pm, 7:38pm, 12:22am). Compare it to the discontinuous Bush jump in ALL the demographic weights and/or vote shares in the Final NEP.
    ...
    THE  NEP  TIMELINE — A  TRAGEDY  IN  FOUR  ACTS

    11.02.04   3:59pm   8349 respondents: Kerry 51 - Bush 48
    11.02.04   7:33pm  11027 respondents: Kerry 51 - Bush 48
    11.03.04  12:22am  13047 respondents: Kerry 51 - Bush 48
    11.03.04   1:25pm  13660 respondents: Kerry 48 - Bush 51
    11.04.04



    "... a server at Edison/Mitofsky malfunctioned shortly before 11 p.m. The glitch prevented access to any exit poll results until technicians got a backup system operational at 1:33 a.m. yesterday. The crash occurred barely minutes before the consortium was to update its exit polling with the results of later interviewing that found Bush with a one-point lead. Instead, journalists were left relying on preliminary exit poll results released at 8:15 p.m., which still showed Kerry ahead by three percentage points.

    It was only after the polls had closed in most states and the vote count  was well underway
     click for link to a state-by-state   
    Regional Analysis
    State Exit Polls of Voters   vs.   Vote "Count" Discrepancies
    EASTERN US:
       All 21 states (and DC) deviated to Bush by an average of 2.80%
    the odds:  1 in 4.2 million
       12 states deviated beyond the margin of error
    probability:  1 in 32 trillion
       Ohio and Florida "flipped" from Kerry to Bush  
     in the East
    that it became clear that Bush was in a stronger position in several key battlegrounds, including Ohio, than early exit polls suggested."

    A random sample of a population can be modeled as a normal distribution curve. Exit polls, however, are not random samples. To avoid prohibitive expense, exit poll samples are clustered, which means that precincts, rather than individuals, are randomly selected. This increases variance and thus the margin of error because of the possibility that precinct voters share similar characteristics which distinguish them from the rest of the state in ways that past voting behavior would not predict. An analysis of the 1996 exit polls estimated that the cluster sample design adds “a 30 percent increase in the sampling error computed under the assumption of simple random sampling” (Merkle and Edelman, 2000, p. 72).
    ...
    Figure 1.2 depicts the resulting distribution curve for samples of 1,963 randomly selected respondents from approximately 40 randomly selected precincts in Ohio, a state in which 48.5% of the vote went for Kerry...It turns out that the likelihood that Kerry would poll 52.1% from a population in which he receives only 48.5% of the vote is less than one-in-one-hundred (.0073).

    Conducting the same analysis for Florida...the chances that he would poll 49.7% out of 2,846 respondents in an exit poll with no systematic error is less than two-in-one-hundred (.0164). In the third critical battleground state, Pennsylvania...the likelihood that an exit poll would predict 54.1%, given 50.8% support of the electorate is just slightly more than one-in-one-hundred (.0126).

    Assuming independent state polls with no systematic bias, the odds against any two of these statistical anomalies occurring together are more than 5,000:1 (five times more improbable than ten straight heads from a fair coin). The odds against all three occurring together are 662,000-to-one. As much as we can say in social science that something is impossible,  it is impossible that the discrepancies between predicted and actual vote counts in the three critical battleground states of the 2004 election could have been due to chance or random error
    Pre-punched ballots;  touch-screen vote switching;  more absentee votes than absentee voters;  unfair provisional voter deletions;  change of voting sites on Election Day;  voter suppression; voter intimidation;  double voting;  malfunctioning machines;  recalibrated machines;  evidently rigged machines;  and even 25 million negative votes registered in some races in Mahoning County [Ohio]!

    Those were among the problematic incidents shared at a 3-hour public hearing on vote irregularities in the Mahoning Valley held on December 21 at the Warren-Trumbull Public Library...
    ...
    Finally, note was taken at the hearing of the curious fact that exit polls showed Kerry with a 4.2% lead over Bush in Ohio, but the vote results gave Bush an alleged 2.5% victory over Kerry, a 6.7% final vote tally percentage shift toward Bush. The chances of this enormous shift being legitimate and the exit polls so wrong are infinitesimal. Another explanation is much more likely, plausible and real. It was clearly expressed well before this rigged election by the  CEO of Diebold, Walden O'Dell , brother of the top executive at ES&S:  “I am committed to helping Ohio deliver its electoral vote to the President next year” . That sentiment and intent were undoubtedly shared again on Election Day itself with President Bush personally by key Ohio election officials, including the co-chair of the Bush-Cheney campaign in Ohio who doubles as Ohio’s Secretary of State, when Bush came to his state headquarters on High Street in Columbus, site of what may be the crime of the century. It is unlikely that anyone there on that crucial day invoked the spirit of  Joseph Stalin  who is reputed to have said  “those who vote determine nothing; those who count the vote determine everything” . But whether explicitly invoked or not, that anti-democratic spirit was clearly invited to Ohio.

     E/M  Non-Response Bias  Hypothesis-Testing ("rBr" Debunked) 

    Corollary evidence

    The exit polls themselves are a strong indicator of a corrupted election. Moreover, the exit poll discrepancy must be interpreted in the context of more than 100,000 officially logged reports of irregularities during Election Day 2004. For many Americans, if not most, mass-scale fraud in a U.S. presidential election is an unthinkable possibility. But taken together, the allegations, the subsequently documented irregularities, systematic vulnerabilities, and implausible numbers suggest a coherent story of fraud and deceit.

    What’s more, the exit poll disparity doesn’t tell the whole story. It doesn’t count those voters who were disenfranchised before they even got to the polls. The Two videos, non-autoplay, will popup:
    Video the Vote: Columbus, OH (23 mins)
    No Umbrella movie trailer (3 min)
    voting machine shortages in Democratic districts
    , the fraudulent felony purges of voter rolls, the barriers to registration, and the unmailed, lost, or cavalierly rejected absentee ballots all represent distortions to the vot